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special_farcesOffline
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PostPosted: 23-12-2013 06:22    Post subject: Reply with quote

This mornings UK shipping forecast a bit of an epic.

Quote:
There are gale warnings in 31 areas.


Which includes this for Shannon (the sea area west of Ireland, not the Irish town!):

Quote:
Southwest 7 to severe gale 9, veering west severe gale 9 to violent storm 11 perhaps hurricane force 12 later.


Spare a thought for all those at sea in the north atlantic.
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rynner2Offline
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PostPosted: 23-12-2013 07:37    Post subject: Reply with quote

special_farces wrote:
This mornings UK shipping forecast a bit of an epic.

Quote:
There are gale warnings in 31 areas.

That's every UK sea area.

And although Shannon may experience the strongest winds for a while, there are relatively few vessels that use that stretch of water. The traffic density in the Channel and the North Sea is far, far higher. Let's hope all mariners pay attention to the forecast. (Those who don't may well crop up in the Lone Coastguard thread...)

So, gales all around us, but the wind doesn't stop when it's over land, and trouble is forecast onshore as well:
Quote:
23 December 2013 Last updated at 05:18

Wind and rain could disrupt Christmas travel in the UK

Heavy rain and strong winds could disrupt road and rail travel ahead of the Christmas break in parts of the UK.
The Met Office has issued amber warnings for rain for Wales, the east of England, south-west England and London and the South East from early on Monday morning.

Numerous train companies expect services to be affected and the AA warned road disruption was likely.

In London, Winter Wonderland in Hyde Park will be closed for the day.
The attraction said it would shut because of the predicted "high winds and extreme rain", before opening as planned on Tuesday.

The Met Office amber warnings run from 07:00 GMT on Monday to 09:00 on Tuesday. They mean people in the areas affected should "be prepared" for disruption.

BBC weather forecaster Nick Miller said the weather would be getting in the way of the Christmas getaway, because of a rapidly deepening area of low pressure which would push more stormy weather across the UK.

Elements include heavy rain and severe gales, some snow especially across parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland, and disruption is likely.

Persistent rain would already be in Wales and south-west England by early morning on Monday.
The rainfall falling on saturated ground means a heightened risk of flooding as a result, our forecaster added.

The stormiest weather on Christmas Eve will be in Scotland and Northern Ireland, with gusts of 80mph or more in the worst affected areas.
Forecasters said the conditions would ease off for Christmas Day and Boxing Day before possibly returning on Friday.

The Environment Agency said there was a medium risk of flooding on Monday in southern areas, including Hampshire, Kent, West Sussex, Surrey, the south west of England and Greater London.

Several flood warnings and alerts - which are updated every 15 minutes - are currently in place across England and Wales.
The agency's director of operations, David Jordan, warned people not to try to drive through floodwater.
"Tragically, people die because they've taken risks and attempted to drive through floodwater just to save a few minutes.
"If there is widespread flooding in your area then don't travel and if a road is closed then turn around and make a detour."

etc...

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-25484998
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rynner2Offline
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PostPosted: 23-12-2013 07:50    Post subject: Reply with quote

My local forecast: heavy rain all day, with gale-force winds not easing until tonight.

Not nice!
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jimv1Offline
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PostPosted: 23-12-2013 08:08    Post subject: Reply with quote

I thought this would be handy for all us landlubbers listening to the shipping forecast on Radio 4.



http://www.northisles-weather.co.uk/weather/sea_areas.gif
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Pietro_Mercurios
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PostPosted: 23-12-2013 08:42    Post subject: Reply with quote

Shouldn't that be over on the Lone Coastguard thread? Smile
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MythopoeikaOffline
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PostPosted: 23-12-2013 12:40    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks for that.
I always wondered where 'Dogger' was.
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CarlosTheDJOffline
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PostPosted: 23-12-2013 13:32    Post subject: Reply with quote

Nice one! Saved.
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Ronson8Offline
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PostPosted: 23-12-2013 13:33    Post subject: Reply with quote

I heard it was in the car park behind the golf course.
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escargot1Offline
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PostPosted: 23-12-2013 13:57    Post subject: Reply with quote

Doggers, yup, there're often some on our work car park when we knock off at night.

Surprisingly, they don't seem to like it when I drive up close, flash my headlights and sound the horn.
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rynner2Offline
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PostPosted: 26-12-2013 08:16    Post subject: Reply with quote

The regular weather is trying enough for many people in UK at the moment. Those who've been without power over Xmas will appreciate this:

Met Office to offer daily space weather forecasts

The Met Office is to begin offering daily forecasts about the weather in space.
The 24 hour service will aim to help businesses and government departments by providing early warnings of solar storms that can disrupt satellites, radio communications and power grids.
The first forecast is expected to be available next spring.
The Department for Business will support the scheme with £4.6m of funding over the next three years.

The Met Office will aim to develop better ways of predicting space weather in collaboration with the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
UK partners involved in the project include the British Geological Survey, Bath University and RAL Space.

Space weather is driven by energetic particles from the Sun.
Solar flares and eruptions in the Sun's atmosphere - known as coronal mass ejections - are powerful sources of potentially destructive solar storms.
They have the potential to damage sensitive satellite components and induce current surges strong enough to knock out power grids on Earth.
A massive blackout in Quebec in 1989 has been attributed to a solar storm.

The Sun's activity peaks about every 11 years, when solar emissions become more intense. It is currently in a "solar maximum" phase.

Mark Gibbs, head of space weather at the Met Office, said: "Space weather is a relatively immature science but understanding is growing rapidly."
He said the Met Office collaboration aimed to "accelerate the development of improved space weather models and prediction systems to make more effective use of space weather data".

Mr Gibbs added: "This investment will enable the Met Office to complete the space weather forecasting capability that it has been developing over the past two years and begin delivering forecasts, warnings and alerts to key sectors to minimise the impact to the technology-based services we all rely on."

Andrew Richards, a risk analyst for the National Grid, said: "A round-the-clock UK forecasting service for space weather is essential as part of National Grid's procedures for running the electricity transmission network securely and safely."

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-25517466
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rynner2Offline
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PostPosted: 26-12-2013 10:53    Post subject: Reply with quote

Heavy rain kills eight in St Vincent

At least eight people died and dozens were forced out of their homes by heavy rain in the Caribbean islands of St Vincent and the Grenadines.
Prime Minister Ralph Gonsalves has cut short his holidays and was returning from London, the government said.

Landslides and flooding also reportedly killed five people in the neighbouring island of St Lucia.
Heavy rain has also been causing destruction in Dominica, also in the eastern Caribbean Sea.
The region was expected to remain on rain alert, according to meteorological services.
Mr Gonsalves said he couldn't remember such heavy rain at Christmas.

A woman who lives in Canada and was spending her holidays with her family in St Vincent told reporters how she got separated from her sisters and ended up losing one of them and her two-year-old niece.

"We all were going together, but the water came down heavy and it just turned us over," Colleen James told news website I-Witness Online. The extreme weather hit St Vincent on Christmas Eve, with many seeking refuge in shelters as the flooding began.
A family of five died when a house was washed into their home in the north-western region of North Leeward, local media reported.

The rain also cut off the water supply of about half of the island, authorities say.
An official government notice said Mr Gonsalves was returning from his holiday in London, where he was staying after a visit to Rome, where he met Pope Francis.

In St Lucia a policeman was killed while reportedly trying to save people who were in difficulty, after torrential rain on Christmas Eve.
Midnight religious services were cancelled and churches in the island's capital Castries were used as shelters for people displaced by flooding.
Local media reports say at least another four bodies have now been found.

St Lucia's Prime Minister Kenny Anthony said: ``I don't think I can recall when we have had such heavy rainfall on the eve of Christmas."

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-25516516
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ramonmercadoOffline
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PostPosted: 29-12-2013 12:35    Post subject: Reply with quote

Keep your fingers crossed for 2014.

Quote:
2013 saw fewest weather disasters in recent history - but will luck hold?
Published time: December 27, 2013 23:36 Get short URL
http://rt.com/usa/minimal-extreme-weather-us-2013-893/

Lightning strikes the Willis Tower (formerly Sears Tower) in downtown on June 12, 2013 in Chicago, Illinois. (AFP Photo / Scott Olson)

The year 2013 was historically kind to the US, with tornadoes, wildfires, hurricanes, and other weather-related disasters occurring at near-record infrequency. Still, meteorologists say that global temperatures have continued to rise.

While there is still some time remaining on the 2013 calendar, the SI Organization - a self-described engineering and technology company that has worked with the US Department of Defense - released a recent report deeming the past year as one of the mildest in terms of devastating natural disasters.

For example, the number of wildfires that burned across the US was on pace to be the lowest in the last 10 years. By October 16, according to the National Interagency Fire Center, 2013 had seen 40,306 fires ravage 4,152,390 acres. That total, which accounts for the devastating fires outside Colorado Springs that displaced hundreds of people in June, is the lowest since 5,254,109 acres burned in 2008.

A firefighting helicopter drops fire retardant on a flare up at the Powerhouse Fire, near Lake Hughes, California, approximately 66 miles (100 km) north of Los Angeles June 3, 2013. (AFP Photo / Robyn Beck)A firefighting helicopter drops fire retardant on a flare up at the Powerhouse Fire, near Lake Hughes, California, approximately 66 miles (100 km) north of Los Angeles June 3, 2013. (AFP Photo / Robyn Beck)

At the same time, just two hurricanes passed through the Atlantic Basin and both Humberto and Ingrid were Category I storms that dissipated quickly.

“The eastern Pacific Ocean has had no major hurricanes this season meaning there has been no major hurricane in either the Atlantic or Pacific which only occurred one other yea in recorded history – 1986,” meteorologist Paul Dorian wrote for the SI Organization. “This is actually quite extraordinary since the two basins are generally out of phase with each other (i.e. when one is inactive the other is active).”

“Finally, another interesting stat with respect to hurricanes has to do with the fact that we are currently in the longest period since the Civil War Era without a major hurricane strike in the US (i.e., category 3,4, or 5),” Dorian continued. “The last major hurricane to strike the US was Hurricane Wilma during late October of that record-breaking year of 2005 – let’s hope this historic stretch continues. By the way, just as a point of comparison, in 1954 the US was hit by three major hurricanes in less than 10 weeks.”

But scientists say the good weather is an anomaly - not a sign of things to come. November 2013 was the warmest November for Earth since national records began in 1891, according to data released by the National Climatic Data Center. The US was 0.3 degree below its monthly average in November, but record warmth in Russia heated much of the rest of the world.

Moscow residents on a walk at Patriarshiye Ponds on November 6, 2013. The temperature in the city has set a new record for November 6. (RIA Novosti / Vitaliy Belousov)Moscow residents on a walk at Patriarshiye Ponds on November 6, 2013. The temperature in the city has set a new record for November 6. (RIA Novosti / Vitaliy Belousov)

“Most of the world’s land areas experienced warmer-than-average monthly temperatures, including much of Eurasia, coastal Africa, Central America and central South America. Much of southern Russia, northwest Kazakhstan, south India, and southern Madagascar were record warm,” the data center reported.

In part because of that trend, 2013 is tied with 2002 as the fourth-warmest year on record. Experts say that over the past century, sea levels have raised around the US by nearly eight inches.

“It’s only going to get worse,” Benjamin Horton, a professor at Rutgers University’s Institute of Marine and Coastal Science, told USA Today. “The rate of sea-level rise could more than triple in the next century. We’re talking about rates we haven’t seen in 6,000 to 7,000 years.”

As such, the rarity of hurricanes has been an especially fortunate occurrence. The US cities of Norfolk, Charleston, and Miami – located in the states of Virginia, South Carolina, and Florida – regularly experience flooding at lunar high tides. New York City and New Orleans have both been crippled in recent years by storms that brought high sea levels flooding into city streets. In New York, work continues even now to repair the extensive subway damage caused by 2012’s Hurricane Sandy.

Waves crash over Winthrop Shore Drive as Hurricane Sandy comes up the coast on October 29, 2012 in Winthrop, Massachusetts. (AFP Photo / Darren Mccollester)Waves crash over Winthrop Shore Drive as Hurricane Sandy comes up the coast on October 29, 2012 in Winthrop, Massachusetts. (AFP Photo / Darren Mccollester)

The Defense Department and Army Corps of Engineers have begun working with lawmakers in coastal cities throughout the country to make up for the ignorance of the past.

“We got it wrong,” said Joe Bouchard, a retired Navy captain who headed the Norfolk naval base from 2000 to 2003. “We weren’t thinking about climate change, period.”
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RonnorOffline
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PostPosted: 30-12-2013 11:51    Post subject: Reply with quote

jimv1 wrote:
I thought this would be handy for all us landlubbers listening to the shipping forecast on Radio 4.



http://www.northisles-weather.co.uk/weather/sea_areas.gif

That map is missing Trafalgar (should be south of Fitzroy).
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MythopoeikaOffline
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PostPosted: 30-12-2013 12:08    Post subject: Reply with quote

Now that you mention it, isn't there another one called Finisterre?
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rynner2Offline
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PostPosted: 30-12-2013 13:18    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mythopoeika wrote:
Now that you mention it, isn't there another one called Finisterre?

Not now - it was renamed Fitzroy to avoid confusion with (I think) a Spanish Finisterre. (But there's part of Brittany also called Finisterre.)

Why Fitzroy?

"Vice-Admiral Robert FitzRoy RN (5 July 1805 – 30 April 1865) was a career officer of the Royal Navy and a scientist. He achieved lasting fame as the captain of HMS Beagle during Charles Darwin's famous voyage, FitzRoy's second expedition to Tierra del Fuego and the Southern Cone. He was a pioneering meteorologist who made accurate weather forecasting a reality and created systems to get weather information to sailors and fishermen for their safety."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_FitzRoy
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