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Solar Storm Heading to Earth
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Anonymous
PostPosted: 29-10-2003 02:09    Post subject: Reply with quote

You are right, Fenris;
the universe will cool down, mostly because of expansion ; eventually there will be occasional atoms, a few photons getting redder and redder due to red shift, and some galactic black holes at fantastically low temperatures;

the only way to survive would be as ethereal ghost beings.
And how you get to be one of those I don't really know.

Oh by the way it looks like being cloudy Wednesday night-

it would be nice to see the aurora again-
I saw it in about January 1992 in York...
curls of violet-grey light followed by green and red patches.


Last edited by Guest on 29-10-2003 02:12; edited 1 time in total
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Anonymous
PostPosted: 29-10-2003 02:46    Post subject: Reply with quote

I have never seen the aurora before, only pictures. It looks spectacular and magical.
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rynner
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PostPosted: 29-10-2003 19:49    Post subject: Reply with quote

Earth buffeted by big solar flare
Quote:
A gas cloud from one of the largest flares ever seen on the Sun has reached the Earth causing a magnetic storm that erupted and then faded quickly.
The disruption to the Earth's magnetic field was described as very severe.

Aurora - northern lights - caused by the charged particles from the Sun have been seen at night all over the globe.

The Sun is undergoing a surge of activity and currently has several large sunspot groups on its surface. More flares and disruption is expected.


One of the largest

According to scientists the flare is the third largest detected since regular solar monitoring began 25 years ago.

It is the strongest flare since 2001 which itself was the most powerful since 1989.

A less powerful flare, also in 1989, caused disruption of power grids in Canada.

Observations from the Solar Heliospheric Observatory (Soho) satellite, monitoring the Sun from a gravitational balance point closer to the Sun than the Earth, saw the so-called Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) rise from the Sun on Tuesday.

Estimates of its velocity suggested it was moving at 7.5 million kilometres a hour, about five times faster than usual.

According to Soho astronomer Paal Brekke, "The magnetic cloud slammed into the Earth's magnetosphere and created a G5 geomagnetic storm, the strongest category."

However, monitoring suggests that the storm weakened quickly.

Experts say this weakening was probably due to the CME's magnetic field which had a northward pointing magnetic component.

Had it been pointing south, they say, the result would have been a much more severe and long lasting geomagnetic storm.

This is because if a CME has a magnetic field pointing south it interacts more violently with the Earth's magnetosphere.

"So we were quite lucky," says Paal Brekke.

Compass swings

The geomagnetic storm has caused compasses to swing wildly.

The compass variation at the Lerwick geomagnetic observatory in Scotland changed by 5.1 degrees in only 25 minutes at about 0630 GMT.

Japan's space agency has announced that its Kodama communications satellite has been affected by the flare. It has been shut down with the hope it can be reactivated when the storm has passed.

Aurora have been reported from mid-western US. Observers say they have seen "lots of red streamers with almost daylight blue down on the horizon."
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ArthurASCIIOffline
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PostPosted: 29-10-2003 20:11    Post subject: Reply with quote

Fenris wrote:

I have never seen the aurora before, only pictures. It looks spectacular and magical.


I was lucky enough to see the Northern Lights while on a "stopover" at Goose Bay in Canada (RAF Nimrod).

I was treated to twenty minutes of the most jaw-dropping light show.
Curtains of rainbow colours.
subtle.
magnificent.

The local eskimo-type who was out on the airfield with me, said it was the best show he'd seen in thirty years.

I'll NEVER forget it.
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theyithianOnline
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PostPosted: 29-10-2003 20:37    Post subject: Reply with quote

Arthur ASCII wrote:

I was lucky enough to see the Northern Lights while on a "stopover" at Goose Bay in Canada (RAF Nimrod).


Quite a good page here: http://www.geo.mtu.edu/weather/aurora/
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brianellwoodOffline
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PostPosted: 29-10-2003 21:59    Post subject: Reply with quote

Geomagnetic readings are very high at York uni as of 20.00 ut . Anyone lucky enough to see aurora outside their windows now? Lots of cloud here and we are very far south, but we did have two succesive years with a single display, but nothing seen here last year.


Looking out towards the n.w. I did in fact see the auroral glow, green this time, which lasted until around 02.00, impressive for this far south!


Last edited by brianellwood on 30-10-2003 13:13; edited 1 time in total
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rynner
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PostPosted: 31-10-2003 20:37    Post subject: Reply with quote

Solar storm surge 'not over yet'
Quote:
Scientists are warning that the spurt of dramatic solar activity may not be over yet.
One astronomer described the two large gas clouds that reached the Earth earlier this week as 'unprecedented.'

However, experts say that although unusual, the events are not beyond the bounds of 'normal' solar activity.

They say the flares do not represent any significant change in our Sun's behaviour as there has only been 25 years of monitoring from space.

'Two big shots at us'

Earlier this week, aircraft traversing the north Atlantic were confined to a narrow corridor to minimise radiation exposure, and astronauts onboard the International Space Station (ISS) took shelter in its most shielded section.

Two Japanese satellites malfunctioned and work had to stop on a Norwegian highway that relied on satellite positioning.

The Sun spots - areas of recent explosions that sent charged gas-clouds heading our way - have now moved so that the Earth in no longer in the 'line of fire.'

However, astronomers say that the Sun may not have finished with us yet.

Commenting on the solar events of the past few days John Kohl of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics in the US, said: "It's like the Earth is looking right down the barrel of a giant gun pointed at us by the Sun...and it's taken two big shots at us."


"The Sun is really churned up. The timing of two very large X-class flares aimed directly at the Earth, occurring one right after another, is unprecedented.

"I have not seen anything like it in my entire career as a solar physicist. The probability of this happening is so low that it is a statistical anomaly."

Spacecraft shut down

As a precaution, astronauts Michael Foale and Alexander Keleri onboard the ISS spent 20 minutes per orbit in the Zvezda module - the most protected area of the station - while the ISS passed through high magnetic latitudes.

It is a routine procedure and astronauts have done it twice before - in April and November 2001.

En route to the Red Planet, the Mars Express spacecraft was hit by the cloud of charged particles but it was designed to withstand these events.

The Smart-1 mission, spiralling its way to the Moon, has suffered some disruption of its 'ion' engine.

At one point, the engine automatically shut down, but restarted itself later without problem.

Radiation monitors on other spacecraft in highly elliptical orbits had detected radiation, probably coming from the solar flare.

These spacecraft, XMM-Newton and Integral, are safe and fully operational.

In 2001, XMM-Newton survived the largest solar flare ever recorded, and mission scientists had no reason to be concerned about the effects of this week's events.

An astronomer at the University of Iowa has even managed to detect the 'sounds' made by the first storm - a clicking noise followed by a whoosh.

Donald Gurnett says the sounds of the solar flare were picked up on Tuesday by Nasa's Cassini spacecraft as it heads for a rendezvous with Saturn and its moons.
Pics and links to more on page. Aurorae have been seen in Cornwall (but not by me!)
- click the link on this page.
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KeyserXSozeOffline
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PostPosted: 02-11-2003 22:18    Post subject: The Sun Has Gone Crazy:OFFICIAL Reply with quote

http://www.newscientist.com/news/news.jsp?id=ns99994321
Quote:
Sun more active than for a millennium

09:00 02 November 03

The Sun is more active now than it has been for a millennium. The realisation, which comes from a reconstruction of sunspots stretching back 1150 years, comes just as the Sun has thrown a tantrum. Over the last week, giant plumes of have material burst out from our star's surface and streamed into space, causing geomagnetic storms on Earth.

The dark patches on the surface of the Sun that we call sunspots are a symptom of fierce magnetic activity inside. Ilya Usoskin, a geophysicist who worked with colleagues from the University of Oulu in Finland and the Max Planck Institute for Aeronomy in Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany, has found that there have been more sunspots since the 1940s than for the past 1150 years.

Sunspot activity
Sunspot observations stretch back to the early 17th century, when the telescope was invented. To extend the data farther back in time, Usoskin's team used a physical model to calculate past sunspot numbers from levels of a radioactive isotope preserved in ice cores taken from Greenland and Antarctica.

Global warming
Ice cores provide a record of the concentration of beryllium-10 in the atmosphere. This is produced when high-energy particles from space bombard the atmosphere, but when the Sun is active its magnetic field protects the Earth from these particles and levels of beryllium-10 are lower.

There was already tantalising evidence that beryllium-10 is scarcer now than for a very long time, says Mike Lockwood, from the UK's Rutherford Appleton Laboratory near Oxford.

But he told New Scientist that when he saw the data converted to sunspot numbers he thought, "why the hell didn't I do this?" It makes the conclusion very stark, he says. "We are living with a very unusual sun at the moment."

The findings may stoke the controversy over the contribution of the Sun to global warming. Usoskin and his team are reluctant to be dragged into the debate, but their work will probably be seized upon by those who claim that temperature rises over the past century are the result of changes in the Sun's output (New Scientist, print edition, 12 April 2003). The link between the Sun's magnetic activity and the Earth's climate is, however, unclear.

Journal reference: Physical Review Letters (in press)

Jenny Hogan


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ttaarraassOffline
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PostPosted: 05-11-2003 02:42    Post subject: Biggest solar flare ever recorded Reply with quote

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/3242353.stm

Quote:
Just as solar scientists thought the Sun may be winding down it unleashes the biggest solar flare ever recorded.
It was so energetic that it overloaded the detectors on satellites monitoring the Sun's surface.

The blast was accompanied with a gigantic gas cloud of billions of tonnes of superhot gas being ejected into space - some of it directed at Earth.

Researchers are saying that the Sun's current spate of activity - now 10 days in duration - is the most dramatic and intense ever witnessed on the Sun's surface.


Huge energy

Powerful solar flares are given an "X" designation. There was an X8 and an X3 event on Sunday.

On Monday, there was an X3 flare followed by smaller ones.


The gas cloud starts on its way
Last week there were X7 and X10 events that took place back-to-back.

Tuesday's flare went off the scale, researchers say it was "well above X20".

This would make it the most powerful ever recorded, surpassing the X20 flares of 2 April 2001 and 16 August 1989.

The major flares have come from sunspot region 486, now officially the most active solar region in recorded solar observational history.

Region 486 is being taken over the Sun's limb by solar rotation. Parts of the latest megaflare occurred beyond the limb.

Dr Paal Brekke, deputy project scientist for the Solar Heliospheric Observatory (Soho) Sun-monitoring satellite, told BBC News Online: "I think the last week will go into the history books as one of the most dramatic solar activity periods we have seen in modern times."


Eek Eek

Quote:

lazarinalover says:
oh good! that will be jolly! the only time we get a free firework show we pump the air full of our own

lazarinalover says:
f*ck you mother nature!


Very Happy


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Mighty_EmperorOffline
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PostPosted: 18-03-2004 02:34    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
17/03/04 - News and city section

Day the sun nearly shut down earth

By Chris Millar, Evening Standard

A wave of massive explosions which erupted from the sun's surface was so powerful it came close to shutting down power grids and radio and mobile phone networks across the world.

The solar flare last November was more than twice as big as the previous recorded explosion - and so violent that satellite detectors were unable to record its true scale because they were blinded by its radiation.

It generated a massive stream of electrically charged particles and gas which rocketed across space at two million miles per hour, with the ability to cause unprecedented disruption to radio transmissions and navigation systems on earth.

Until now the size of the flare and the seismic waves which followed it was unknown, but scientists have discovered it dwarfed the previous biggest flare in August 1989, which plunged six million people in Quebec into an electrical blackout.

A team of scientists at New Zealand's University of Otago have said that it almost wreaked unimaginable destruction.

Their calculations showed the flare's X-ray radiation striking the atmosphere was equivalent to that of 5,000 suns, although they said none of it reached the earth's surface.

The flare was not on a direct course and harmful radiation was absorbed by the magnetosphere, a protective layer around the earth.

The flare came during a spell of extraordinary solar activity, when the sun produced a series of vast explosions.

As gas from the core of the sun was heated to millions of degrees, radiation and billions of tonnes of charged particles were pumped into space.

An accompanying aurora was seen over the skies of southern England. At the time one scientist described the power of the flare as being greater than "every nuclear warhead being detonated at once".


http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/news/articles/9676470?version=1
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PostPosted: 26-07-2004 19:59    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
Posted 7/25/2004 12:45 AM



Sunspot grows to 20 times size of Earth

By Robert Roy Britt, SPACE.com

A sunspot group aimed squarely at Earth has grown to 20 times the size of our planet and has the potential to unleash a major solar storm.

The amorphous mix of spots, together called Number 652, has been rotating across the Sun and growing for several days. On Friday, it sat at the center of the solar disk.

Sunspots are areas of intense magnetic energy, cooler and darker than the surrounding surface of the thermonuclear furnace. Sometimes the magnetic fields let loose and huge amounts of radiation and charged particles are hurled into space.

The Sun's last bout of intense storminess occurred last fall, when a string of 10 major flares over two weeks knocked out satellites, damaged others, and forced the FAA to reroute airlines away from exposed polar routes.

No one can say if this sunspot group will let loose with a major storm, but it has the characteristics of a potentially big event.

"The implications of this spot have scientists on the edge of their seats," NASA said in a statement Friday. "If the active region generates coronal mass ejections (CMEs), massive explosions with a potential force of a billion megaton bombs, it will be a fairly direct hit to Earth and its satellites and power grids."

The Sun is now in a generally quiet period of a well-known 11-year cycle of activity. But sunspots and flares can occur at any time. Scientists do not fully understand why the spots appear or how they erupt.

The sunspot is clearly visible from Earth without a telescope. But don't look at the Sun without a proper, safe filter or other viewing technique, or permanent eye damage can result.


http://www.usatoday.com/tech/news/2004-07-25-see-spot-storm_x.htm?csp=15
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brianellwoodOffline
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PostPosted: 27-07-2004 17:11    Post subject: Reply with quote

Very high activity at the moment http://www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

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PostPosted: 28-07-2004 18:46    Post subject: Fortean coincidence? Reply with quote

While this giant sunspot was taking aim at the Earth, the band Sunspot was scheduled to open for the 1970s band Foghat.

http://www.jsonline.com/news/wauk/jul04/246834.asp
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PostPosted: 22-02-2011 11:47    Post subject: Reply with quote

Solar storm 'could cause more damage than Hurricane Katrina'
A powerful solar flare hit the Earth last week – and experts are now warning that the next one could be catastrophic
By Steve Connor, Science Editor, in Washington
Tuesday, 22 February 2011

Havoc wreaked by a solar storm – such as the one that occurred last week – could be equivalent to a "global hurricane Katrina" that would cost up to $2 trillion dollars in damage to communications satellites, electric power grids and GPS navigation systems, scientists said yesterday.

Thursday's solar flare was the biggest for four years and ejected billions of tons of matter travelling at a million miles per hour towards Earth.
When it hit our magnetic field it generated magnetic storms and power surges which disrupted communications and grounded flights.

Senior government advisers have warned that the world has never been more vulnerable to the effects of such an events, which buffets the complex and delicate electronic technology that now controls almost all aspects of modern society.

An increasing reliance on electronic equipment, such as GPS satellite navigation and the computers controlling smart grids for electricity distribution, has meant that solar storms can now produce unprecedented damage on a global scale, they said.

Professor Sir John Beddington, the government's chief scientific adviser, said that the growth in the use of complex electronic machinery over the past 10 years has made society far more susceptible to catastrophic disruption than a decade ago when the last solar activity cycle reached its peak. "Space weather has to be taken seriously. We've had a relatively quiet period of space weather and we expect that quiet period to end," Sir John told the American Association for the Advancement of Science in Washington.

"At the same time, over that period the potential vulnerability of our systems has increased dramatically, whether it is the smart grid in our electricity system or the ubiquitous use of GPS systems," he said.

The approximately 11-year solar cycle is now emerging from one of its quietest periods in 50 years and is expected to reach a solar maximum in 2013, when the number of solar flares on the Sun which generate electromagnetic storms reaches a peak.

"[Last week's] event was the strongest solar flare in four years and as a consequence airlines re-routed flights away from polar regions in anticipation of the possibility that their radio communications would not be operable," said Jane Lubchenco, the head of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). "In addition to that, communications problems were reported on flights from Hawaii to southern California and the flare disrupted communications in parts of the western Pacific region and Asia.

"Clearly this is something we need to take seriously. That particular event was not a very serious one, but as we enter a period of higher solar activity it is reasonable to expect more and more events and they may vary in magnitude," she said.
"This is an area that we're beginning to pay much more attention to, not only because we are entering a solar maximum, but because so much more of our technology is vulnerable than was the case even 10 years ago when we had the last solar maximum," she added.

Thomas Bogdan, director of the Space Weather Prediction Centre in Boulder, Colorado, said that GPS systems are highly vulnerable to the massive bursts of electromagnetic radiation from the Sun, which energise the charged particles of the Earth's ionosphere.
"That ionosphere sits between us and the GPS satellites and the thicker that ionosphere, the longer the time delay between the GPS satellite and when you pick it up," Dr Bogdan said. "In the worst-case situation, on the day-lit side of the Earth, we could see the loss of GPS not only for navigation but for its critical timing capability used in business transactions."

About 10 or 20 hours after the initial blast of electromagnetic radiation, a second burst of high-energy charged particles will hit the Earth.
These have the ability to induce dangerous electric currents in power lines and oil pipelines, Dr Bogdan said. A 14-year-old early-warning satellite is the only way of directly detecting the potential magnitude of the danger this wave of charge particles within a solar storm poses to pipelines and electronic systems on Earth, he said. "Any storm coming from the Sun has to pass over that spacecraft before it hits Earth. If it takes 20 hours to go from the Sun to Earth, it's going to take about 20 minutes to go from that spacecraft to Earth. So our last warning is a 20-minute warning, which will tell us how big, how strong, how nasty that storm might be," he told the meeting.

"The trouble is, it's 14 years old and what keeps me awake at night is worrying about whether that satellite would be running next morning when I get up," he said.

Sir John Beddington added: "There are two things we need to be thinking about. We need to think about prediction – the ability to categorise and give warning about when particular types of space weather is likely to occur. The second is about engineering. Thinking about particular sectors and their vulnerability to particular types of space weather – that is a complicated issue and we need to think hard about how to do that," he said.
"What is absolutely critical is that we do have to take space weather seriously. This is an international issue and it is international collaboration that is how we are going to deal with it."

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/solar-storm-could-cause-more-damage-than-hurricane-katrina-2221706.html
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PostPosted: 07-03-2012 20:07    Post subject: Reply with quote

Doomed, we're all doomed I tell ye.

Solar storm headed toward Earth may disrupt power
http://www.physorg.com/news/2012-03-solar-storm-earth-disrupt-power.html
March 7th, 2012 in Space & Earth / Space Exploration

This handout image provided by NASA shows a solar flare heading toward Earth. An impressive solar flare is heading toward Earth and could disrupt power grids, GPS and airplane flights. An impressive solar flare is heading toward Earth and could disrupt power grids, GPS and airplane flights. Forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Space Weather Prediction Center said the sun erupted Tuesday evening and the effects should start smacking Earth late Wednesday night, close to midnight EST. They say it is the biggest in five years and growing. (AP Photo/NASA)

The largest solar flare in five years is racing toward Earth, threatening to unleash a torrent of charged particles that could disrupt power grids, GPS and airplane flights.

The sun erupted Tuesday evening, and the effects should start smacking Earth around 7 a.m. EST Thursday, according to forecasters at the federal government's Space Weather Prediction Center. They say the flare is growing as it speeds outward from the sun.

"It's hitting us right in the nose," said Joe Kunches, a scientist for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. He called it the sun's version of "Super Tuesday."

The solar storm is likely to last through Friday morning, but the region that erupted can still send more blasts our way, Kunches said. He said another set of active sunspots is ready to aim at Earth right after this.

But for now, scientists are waiting to see what happens Thursday when the charged particles hit Earth at 4 million mph.

NASA solar physicist Alex Young added, "It could give us a bit of a jolt." But he said this is far from a super solar storm.

The storm is coming after an earlier and weaker solar eruption happened Sunday, Kunches said. This newer blast of particles will probably arrive slightly later than forecasters first thought.

That means for North America the "good" part of a solar storm - the one that creates more noticeable auroras or Northern Lights - will peak Thursday evening. Auroras could dip as far south as the Great Lakes states or lower, Kunches said, but a full moon will make them harder to see.

Auroras are "probably the treat we get when the sun erupts," Kunches said.
But there is the potential for widespread problems. Solar storms have three ways they can disrupt technology on Earth: with magnetic, radio and radiation emissions. This is an unusual situation when all three types of solar storm disruptions are likely to be strong, Kunches said.

That means "a whole host of things" could follow, he said.

The magnetic part of the storm has the potential to trip electrical power grids. Kunches said power companies around the Earth have been alerted for possible outages. The timing and speed of the storm determines whether it will knock off power grids, he said.

In 1989, a strong solar storm knocked out the power grid in Quebec, causing 6 million people to lose power.

Solar storms can also make global positioning systems less accurate, which is mostly a problem for precision drilling and other technologies, Kunches said. There also could be GPS outages.

The storm also can cause communication problems and added radiation around the north and south poles, which will probably force airlines to reroute flights. Some already have done so, Kunches said.

Satellites could be affected by the storm, too. NASA spokesman Rob Navias said the space agency isn't taking any extra precautions to protect astronauts on the International Space Station from added radiation from the solar storm.

More information: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center: www.swpc.noaa.gov

NASA on solar flare: http://www.nasa.gov/mission-pages/sunearth/news/News030712-X1.5.html
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