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Dyatlov pass accident
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EnolaGaiaOffline
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PostPosted: 17-03-2013 21:37    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't see why the story should be considered suspicious simply because it didn't become a widespread staple of Forteana of the period.

A group of cross-country skiers go missing in a very remote area during the depths of winter. Their bodies are found weeks later (some not until months later). Autopsies noted some serious injuries on a minority of the bodies, but cause of death is basically listed as hypothermia for all. The focal mystery isn't that their deaths coincided with something Fortean, but that these experienced backcountry trekkers fell victim to the most obvious risk - i.e., the cold - after apparently leaving their tent and equipment behind.

Even setting aside the obvious issue of it being the cold war era (when very little news from within the USSR made it into Western media), what is it in the basic story that should have made it an international sensation?
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PostPosted: 18-03-2013 09:53    Post subject: Reply with quote

Why does no-one start from the top? From the very beginning... The tent.

THE TENT:
Why does a ripped tent draw the conclusion that the zipper wasn't fast enough? If this were the case and the tent was ripped open because the 2-second zipper was too time consuming, who really has an unsheathed knife at their bedside and (in a panic situation) makes a split second decision to reach for the knife rather than the zipper? They then start hacking away at the tent (destroying their main survival lifeline) just to exit for a breath of fresh air???! Must have been one seriously repulsive fart.

It's tough to believe. Almost as extreme as breaking the window out of your car instead of reaching for the door handle. It's not something an ordinary person would do, regardless of the situation. Eerie and captivating--which makes for a good story, yes, but it's not a realistic conclusion that the tent was ripped open because their situation was so incredibly dire.

2 additional points:
    [1] Why did the investigators believe the tent was ripped open from the INSIDE? Can you really tell (just from the tear pattern on the fabric)?

    [2] There is no mention of the zipper, or whether the zipper was found closed or open. Knowing the state of the zipper is an enormous clue that we haven't been given.



THE TEAM LEFT WITHOUT PROPER CLOTHING:
Probably the 2nd most intriguing aspect of the Dyaltov Pass Incident is that the team left the tent wearing very little clothing. Perhaps the moon and stars were incredible, and it was an great night (unseasonably balmy) for a twilight stroll? (kidding) But they could have fled the tent in the daytime (in the hours before sundown or early morning).

In short, fleeing the tent, if that's what happened, didn't need to happen while they were startled awake in the middle of the night (and to revisit my earlier point, it didn't necessarily happen by ripping open the tent. They could have used the zipper, and the tent was damaged for another reason altogether).

If the clothing had become wet, the team were smart enough to shed the wet clothing and build a fire away from the wind-torn the hill, down inside the cover of trees (also for kindling purposes). Possibly later, it was decided that the clothing could be dried out near the fire (which they planned on increasing in size) and so they headed back for the rest of the wet clothes.

Strangely though, the final 4 who died in a "4 meter ravine" were very well dressed. This is seldom mentioned, but certainly proven in at least 1 photo.

Why? Did they hang back at the tent to dress properly, or did they typically sleep with most of their clothes while the others hadn't?

In any case, we can conclude that the abundance of clothing worn by these 4 people did NOT primarily come from borrowing clothing from the deceased. They were well dressed from the beginning of the incident. They might have been separate from the rest of the group during the whole thing, only stopping at the campfire location to scavenge a few additional clothing items.



DEATHS OF THE LAST 4, IN THE RAVINE:
With all the snowpack for padding, they couldn't have sustained their injuries only from the short fall. Even if it were possible, how could they all have fallen simultaneously? Nearly impossible. Much like the tent zipper, this is another seriously doubtful item that is rarely questioned. The short fall could not have caused their injuries.

The lady with a missing tongue was found (according to one report) with a stomach full of blood, meaning her tongue was removed while she was alive, ruling out scavenging animals (if this report is genuine).

They were found only 75 meters from the campfire, meaning their journey was extremely short-lived after picking up clothing from the 2 deceased near the fire. If they were well-dressed and had eaten within 8 hours (according to autopsy reports), what was their main complex?

We'll need to take ALL the tiny details into account to have ANY chance at solving this one. Overlook nothing. The tent zipper, the 4 meter ravine deaths, and plenty more items that I didn't even mention.
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CochiseOffline
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PostPosted: 18-03-2013 13:24    Post subject: Reply with quote

kamalktk wrote:


If you look at the references for the page, all references that are in russian are marked as "unreliable", except a reference that is an internet forum.


That is the point that concerns me. But as I've said, its only a doubt, I'm not asserting it is a fake.
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PostPosted: 18-03-2013 15:02    Post subject: Reply with quote

Cochise wrote:
kamalktk wrote:


If you look at the references for the page, all references that are in russian are marked as "unreliable", except a reference that is an internet forum.


That is the point that concerns me. But as I've said, its only a doubt, I'm not asserting it is a fake.

Since every printed Russian language source is marked "unreliable", it seems this has more to do with wikipedia's editorial issues than anything else. The sources referenced are available via internet, allowing anyone who speaks russian to read for themselves. Though for thoroughness, you'd want to find copies of the actual books, printed before your 1996 date.
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PostPosted: 18-03-2013 15:26    Post subject: Reply with quote

I've got a contact who used to do Russian translations for me, but he is a pretty distant contact who I'm never in touch with. It would be like calling up a second-cousin to borrow money, but I could ask him to translate something if we have a specific block of text. It would be better to have a translator as part of the forum with an actual interest in this, though..
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EnolaGaiaOffline
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PostPosted: 18-03-2013 15:49    Post subject: Reply with quote

The tent was a do-it-yourself affair of canvas. To judge from the photos, it didn't have a zippered entrance.
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PostPosted: 19-03-2013 13:53    Post subject: Reply with quote

One thing that's always puzzled me...doesn't the whole 'they had tanned skin' come from the testimony of someone who was 12 at the time and saw them at the funeral?

Firstly, would a 12 year old be a reliable witness? Was he familiar enough with the appearance of corpses to know if they were actually tanned or if it was a result of decomposition/embalming? Is his memory reliable after all this time?

Secondly, wouldn't there be other witnesses to back up his story? Morticians, undertakers, family, other people at the funeral. Why is it only him?

Has there been anymore evidence to the tanned skin beyond one person's testimony?
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PostPosted: 19-03-2013 17:33    Post subject: Reply with quote

Urvogel wrote:
One thing that's always puzzled me...doesn't the whole 'they had tanned skin' come from the testimony of someone who was 12 at the time and saw them at the funeral?...


If correctly attributed some of the more gruesome photographs available on the web suggest that it would be very difficult to make a judgement about skin colour beyond the fact that they weren't exactly in the pink.
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PostPosted: 19-03-2013 21:24    Post subject: Reply with quote

Urvogel wrote:
One thing that's always puzzled me...doesn't the whole 'they had tanned skin' come from the testimony of someone who was 12 at the time and saw them at the funeral?

Firstly, would a 12 year old be a reliable witness? Was he familiar enough with the appearance of corpses to know if they were actually tanned or if it was a result of decomposition/embalming? Is his memory reliable after all this time?

Secondly, wouldn't there be other witnesses to back up his story? Morticians, undertakers, family, other people at the funeral. Why is it only him?

Has there been anymore evidence to the tanned skin beyond one person's testimony?

Well, there's also tanned from a day at the beach versus tanned ala the leather production process. A 12 year old boy in a remote region might be familiar with the latter, as tanning leather would be a reasonable activity in such a place.
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PostPosted: 20-03-2013 10:34    Post subject: Reply with quote

EnolaGaia wrote:
I don't see why the story should be considered suspicious simply because it didn't become a widespread staple of Forteana of the period.



That wasn't quite what I was suggesting. It's more that an event with these elements, especially the potential UFO or Russian secret weapon angles, well, you would expect it to be exploited and publicised more than it is. I chose the date of 1996 arbitrarily, because its a significant date to me, and I'm sure I never heard of this before then.

To put it another way - does anyone know when this was first heard of in the West? I'm not dissing Russian sources, but it is difficult for us to verify them - how could you or I tell if, for example a Russian coroner's report was genuine?

Has anyone checked with say the Russian embassy? I remember years ago (during the cold war) needing some details of their WW2 tanks for a project - I wrote them a letter asking if they could suggest some sources (and explaining why I wanted the data) and they gave me specific and very helpful answers. (Ballistic performance of the T34's 76.2 mm gun for example - they said sorry they couldn't give me details of the later 85mm gun because it was still in service!)

The discussion on Wikipedia at the very minimum suggests I am not alone in thinking this _might_ be a recent invention rather than a genuine event.
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PostPosted: 20-03-2013 11:24    Post subject: Reply with quote

Some time back I pointed out that every single source I could find on the internet at the time (02-03-2008) linked back to the same Moscow Times newspaper article* - this included the more often referenced St Petersburg Times article, which is word for word the same as the former. I couldn't find a single reference anywhere that was independant of this. I also noted that, at the time, the Wiki page was up for deletion. (Is there any way of retrieving an old Wiki page, I wonder? I've tried deciphering the relevent revision history but can't find an obvious indication.)

kamalktk wrote:
...If you look at the references for the page, all references that are in russian are marked as "unreliable", except a reference that is an internet forum.


Yes, it still looks to me that all references which predate the February 2008 Moscow Times article are either not specifically about the Dyatlov incident or, if they are, are marked as unreliable.

However, I'm now kind of drawn to the idea - which has already been suggested - that this is all a product of the way that information from the former Soviet Union filters through into the public domain. This would not have been the type of story that the Soviet authorities of the time would have wanted doing the rounds; if it had been about martyrdom in the name of scientific progress, then maybe - but this smacks more of tragic disaster.

Having said that, when the provenance of a story does seem odd - as in the online appearance lagging decades behind it's supposed genesis (the original Wiki entry appears to date from 2006) - it would be silly not to be at least a little circumspect.

* The original 04/02/2008 link has been superceded by a more recent reissue of the article (27/02/2013) - however, as the first paragraph makes clear, the article is from February 2008. If you don't want to take my word for the precise date of the 4th of February, there are references to that date elsewhere on the net - for instance here, here and here. (You might have to hunt around a bit - but it's in there.)
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PostPosted: 20-03-2013 20:47    Post subject: Reply with quote

I speak Russian, although far from perfectly, and I've just given the Russian Wikipedia article a (very) quick glance. The coroners reports from the incident are actually referenced in the bibliography.

All the references are in an on-line database, along with witness statements diaries, scans etc., which you can check here:

https://sites.google.com/site/hibinaud/home/akt-issledovania-trupa-kolevatova

I will stress though, it's an enthusiast's site, not an official site.

And, as for the Russian links being labelled 'unreliable', that would seem to be an issue with the policy foreign language links in Wikipedia.
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PostPosted: 21-03-2013 11:11    Post subject: Reply with quote

Just my two cents - Could the tent have been torn open by an animal, or they heard a bear or wolf or some such thing and thats why they escaped so quickly and ran for it with little clothing? Just an idea....
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PostPosted: 21-03-2013 16:31    Post subject: Reply with quote

The tears in the tent were relatively regular, and were concluded to be cuts done from within. It's not clear why the searchers / investigators were so confident that all the tears were cuts and all were the result of cutting from inside the tent. The searchers / investigators reported no signs indicating animals or humans other than the 9 members of the group.

There were two large rectilinear holes along one side of the tent - either of which would have been large enough to allow persons to get out. These are in the middle section of the tent wall. There was also a long vertical slash or tear at the rear end of the tent.

There are also a number of smaller elongated holes (some aligned like a dotted line) which are suggestive of someone slashing the fabric multiple times.

As far as I can tell, all the holes are on the side of the tent facing toward the valley into which they descended from the pass and died - away from the nearby mountain slope.

It's worth noting that their homemade tent was made of canvas, which will tear in a relatively straight line once sufficiently stressed.

I've never been totally convinced all the holes in the tent were cuts made by people trying to escape. I still think it's possible one or more of the holes could represent tears in the fabric (i.e., fabric failure).

It was a homemade tent assembled from two older tents to make a larger / longer one. The main holes are in the center section - the section found collapsed. This is the section intended to be supported by multiple guy-lines (as illustrated in photos of the tent earlier in the expedition). This section wasn't well supported on that final night, because they could tie any lines only to ski poles.

They'd made camp on an exposed slope during snowy / windy weather, in a location I seriously doubt they'd intended (they pitched camp around sunset, so it's likely to have been a position circumstances forced on them). I suspect Dyatlov had planned to traverse the pass and make camp down in the valley into which they fled that night, but their progress had been slower than expected and they had to give up atop the pass.

Based on photos and their journal, that tent was ill-supported and probably subject to windy conditions unlike any encountered thus far on the trip. They weren't using their stove that final night, and there are conflicting claims as to whether they even had any firewood on hand at the pass. (The purportedly official version is that they had none; there's a claim one of the search party students mentioned a single log.)

It also bears pointing out that the day before they'd built a storage place and set aside approximately 55 - 60 kg of food and equipment (to be accessed again on the way back). They only traveled circa 2 miles to get from that cache site to the top of the pass - a relatively short amount of progress compared to previous days, even considering it was an uphill climb.

IMHO the evidence suggests they were probably extra-tired from the work of the day before and had a bad day by the time they had to pitch the tent on the pass (itself a hard task, as illustrated in the final surviving photos). As a result, I'm not sure they were at their best when confronted with whatever event(s) caused them to leave their campsite.

If the tent fabric failed, they would have been effectively exposed to the elements. If the tent also collapsed, they could have understandably panicked (above and beyond probably being exhausted and stressed over the final day's disappointing progress). They weren't using their only heat source, and there's reason to believe they didn't even have any fuel on hand.

The story has typically been portrayed as the mysterious abandonment of a workable campsite for no apparent reason. Except for the avalanche (or fear-of-avalanche) theories, nobody seems to have seriously explored the possibility that their campsite (specifically the tent) had become dangerously untenable - forcing them to decide to descend into the adjacent valley to get firewood and / or set up a temporary site with fire to wait for morning.

The obvious next question becomes: "If they were trying to execute such an extemporaneous plan, why were some of them reasonably clothed and others mysteriously under-clothed / without shoes?" The variations in clothing might have resulted from a panic to get off the pass ASAP, no matter how clothed some of them were.

However ...

This also assumes they all left the tent at the same time. There was no willy-nilly rush down into the valley. The search party found footprints accounting for the entire group, all clustered together in a common path. All this proves is that whoever came last followed the path set by the earliest one(s). It doesn't prove they all left the tent together.

It's always struck me that the notion of the entire group fleeing downslope to eventually die in different states of (un-)dress, in different locations, and apparently in the course of heading in different directions was a little too odd (this impression is, after all, the basis for all the mystery). It makes more sense to me that they weren't (at least weren't _always_) operating as a single group.

For example ... What if they found themselves untenably exposed on the pass, and a party of (prepared; adequately dressed) members were dispatched to either get firewood or start a fire (the fire site under the prominent tall cedar) to which the others could evacuate? As the group leader Dyatlov would have been a likely candidate for this dispatched sub-group. The adequately-clothed bodies of Dyatlov and 2 others were the only bodies found between the cedar / fire location and the tent, and all 3 bodies were oriented so as to suggest they were heading uphill toward the tent when they expired. If they'd been delayed in returning in accordance with their mission, the ones left at the exposed campsite - quite possibly weakened / 'maddened' by hypothermia some time later - could have set off into the valley out of desperation, following the path of their footprints but possibly never finding the first party. This is one scenario that makes more sense to me than all of them leaving in disparate states of dress, with Dyatlov and 2 others being the last to die in a vain attempt to get back to the tent as the final scene (as some accounts would have it).
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PostPosted: 21-03-2013 19:50    Post subject: Reply with quote

EnolaGaia wrote:
I've never been totally convinced all the holes in the tent were cuts made by people trying to escape.

Totally agree. I implied this earlier. Doesn't make sense that they'd need to slice the tent open in desperation, especially in multiple places (save for an avalanche, which the evidence refutes).



EnolaGaia wrote:
This section wasn't well supported on that final night, because they could tie any lines only to ski poles.

What gives you the idea that the tent wasn't well supported; and what was their normal alternative to ski poles?



EnolaGaia wrote:
....nobody seems to have seriously explored the possibility that their campsite (specifically the tent) had become dangerously untenable....

Totally agree. Perhaps a bear attack? Snow melted through (or blew in through an existing fabric tear - or a tear FROM the bear) and soaked everything while they were sleeping? The absence of animal tracks doesn't say much because of the time gap and animal tracks being quicker to fade in the elements.



EnolaGaia wrote:
It makes more sense to me that they weren't (at least weren't _always_) operating as a single group.

I mentioned this earlier, too. I totally agree. In my opinion, the well-clothed people either left the tent at a different time than everyone else, or had slept in their clothes while the others hadn't.



EnolaGaia wrote:
The adequately-clothed bodies of Dyatlov and 2 others were the only bodies found between the cedar / fire location and the tent

Are you sure? Maybe I had this mixed up. I had thought the 4 who died in the ravine were the only well dressed people.



As a brand new idea: Are we certain everyone died at nighttime and that Dyatlov was with his team during the entire incident? If EnolaGaia is correct and the 3 who attempted to return to the tent were the only well-dressed ones, perhaps they weren't returning to the tent at all, but instead it was their first journey to the tent (a proverbial "diaper changing" (aka taking care of his lesser experienced team) in a last ditch effort to fix their mistake and save everyone's lives). In other words, maybe Dyatlov and the other 2 had seperated from the others earlier in the day to handle the food and items storage, and were making their first journey to the tent when they died. This explains why they were so well dressed, because they never undressed to sleep in the first place, and had never even BEEN to the tent while pitched in this location.
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